November 6, 2006

Last chance to whip out your balls

Here's the election eve prediction center for all of you frothing partisans, self-styled moderates, independents, theocons, neocons, Bush cult members, mad-as-hell-and-not-going-to-take-it-anymore Dems, Republicans, and Independents to put down your markers.

Predict local and state races, but also take a shot at predicting the house and senate balance. Give the number of seats you think will be gained. Happily, this number will apply to Democrats as absolutely no one thinks the Republicans will gain in either house. (but of course, I know I have some fine readers who are as deeply in denial as our President, so if you want to predict a Republican gain, you're welcome to.)

(reminds me of a GREAT line by Andrew Sullivan in reference to Bush's casual aquaintance with reality. He said in regard to Bush that this election "...isn't so much a referendum as an intervention.")

The Rothenburg Report from normally cautious analyste Stu Rothenburg has the Dems picking up 6 for a one vote majority in the Senate, and a Dem gain of 34 to 40 in the House for a whopping 19 to 25 seat majority.

Charlie Cook of the Cook Report describes it as a "big goddamned wave" for Dems, but said in a piece written 4 days ago that the Republicans should consider themselves lucky if they lose only a 4 or 5 seats in the Senate and 20-25 seats in the House.

Go to it.

And if your comment is nothing but a continuation of a smear campaign, don't bother posting it.


At 11/06/2006 8:12 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Democrats +32 in the house
+6 in the Senate (including MO)

Phil Hare wins with 54%

I think that Boland will win by 129 votes, Jacobs by 2-to-1.

Judge Vicki Wright comes down to Will County.

Huff wins.

and in the Outside Dope, Off-the-Wall Prediction: John Laesch somehow pulls off the upset and sends Hastert packing.

At 11/06/2006 9:12 AM, Blogger QCMediaGhost said...

Nussle, Whalen, Hutter, Adamson

At 11/06/2006 11:08 AM, Blogger The Colonel said...

Dems pick up 27 seats in the house and 5 in the Senate. Culver wins Iowa Gov, but Whalen squeeks out a 51/49 win.
Scott County seats go to Adamson, Moritz and Minard (in that order).
On the Ia. Legislative side, Dem's take both chambers and will be the first time in decades the D's control the Gov & hill. The only reason Whalen wins is a strong Scott County and Dubuque vote.
And finally, the sleeze of Illinois politics takes it's toll. Gov. Rod wins with less then 50% of the vote and the 3rd party candidate takes a whopping 15% of the vote.
And finally Phil Hare will win his one and only term in Congress!!!

At 11/06/2006 11:46 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hare with 56%
Jacobs with 75%
Wright with 50%+
Braley with 55%
Boland with 55%
Huff with 58%

At 11/06/2006 11:52 AM, Blogger Benton Harbor said...

One of the winners ought to be TID for one of the wittiest, funny headlines I've seen in awhile!!

At 11/06/2006 12:38 PM, Blogger Dave Barrett said...

I predict that the news media will be surprised at the strength and size of the Democratic GOTV army. Pundits who have talking for months about the superior Republican GOTV will be asking "where did THAT come from?"

At 11/06/2006 12:41 PM, Blogger The Inside Dope said...

I only hope you're right Dave!

At any rate, this election, combined with the recent pulling back of the curtain on the hypocrisy and power mongering perversion of the "theocons", I truly think that tomorrow may be a day remembered for when the darkness finally started to lift in this country and around the world.

At 11/06/2006 1:02 PM, Anonymous RI Republican said...

I thik that you will find that as the voters go to the polls, they do not go as strongly towards the Democrats as anticipated.

Dem's will win the House, not the Senate - and the reason is...voters vote for National Security on Senate levels - and Kerry's disdain for the military that was front-and-center last week will have more of an effect than thought.

Blago 49%
JBT - 43%
Green Party - 6%
Other - 2%

Hare - 57%
Zinga - 43%

Jacobs - 62%
Beals - 38%

Haring - 52%
Boland - 48%

Schwigen 52%
Huff - 48%

Braley 54%
Whalen 46%

At 11/06/2006 3:10 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Zinga just edges Hare out with 52%

At 11/06/2006 5:23 PM, Blogger latinv said...

Culver 52% Nussle 48%

Braley 56% Whalen 44%

Blagojevich 49.02% Topinka 40%
Whitney 10% Nieukirk 0.08%

Hare 57% Zinga 43%

Jacobs 60% Beals 40%
Boland 52% Haring 48%
Huff 60% Schwigen 40%

Wright 55% Powers 45%

At 11/06/2006 9:12 PM, Anonymous UnionD said...

Hare 58%
Zinga 42%

Blagojovich 48%
Baar-Topinka 41%
Whitney 11%

Wright 52%
Powers 48%

Culver 53%
Nussle 47%

Jacobs 59%
Beals 41%

Huff 54%
Schwigen 46%

Armstrong 51%
Culley 49%

Boland 52%
Haring 48%

Labor will have almost 200 people on the streets and phones tomorrow too!

At 11/06/2006 9:43 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

uniond, either a little optimistic, a little one-sided in our opinions, or we are just a pathetically stupid area!

Clean sweep for the D's in an area that is flushing down the toilet (with long-term D leadership...sad)

At 11/06/2006 11:16 PM, Blogger demgorilla said...

Culver 54
Nussle 46

Blago 50
Topinka 43
Green 7

Hare 53
Zinga 47 (Hare will get clobbered in southern end of district where his campaign effort has been weak)

Jacobs 59
Beals 41 (Jacobs superior TV campaign has been impressive)

Boland 52
Haring 48

And despite late momentum for Republicans nationally, and their base is coming home in the end, Dems will pick up 19 seats to take control of the US House and 4 seats in the Senate to come up short.

RI Dems, with help from Democratic businessmen, laborers, candidates, etc, will have an effective GOTV effort.

At 11/07/2006 3:46 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hare - 56 %
Zinga - 44 %

Boland - Harding - toss up

Blago - 52 %
Topinka - 40 %
Green Party - 8 %

Wright - 51 %
Powers - 49 %

Huff - 53 %
Schwigen - 47 %

Jacobs - 57 %
Beals - 43 %

Culver - 54 %
Nussel - 46 %

Braley - 51 %
Whalen - 49 %

At 11/07/2006 5:35 AM, Anonymous UnionD said...

To Anonymous said 6/11/06 21:43,
I made a prediction under a name so as not to remain anonymous. Where is yours? Take a chance, predict your winners under a name so we can determine which of us is the optimitist.
Sincerely, UnionD

At 11/07/2006 5:42 AM, Blogger The Inside Dope said...

Amen to that Union D.

I've begged and pleaded in the past and specifically told readers to at least leave a name so we could associate predictions with it, but most people simply ignored it, despite the fact that having a dozen predictions from "anonymous" is pretty stupid as if one of them comes closest, they won't be able to take credit and get the rousing accolades and heaps of praise they'd otherwise so richly deserve.

At 11/07/2006 7:09 AM, Anonymous DB said...

DB is anon 11/7/2006 03:46


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