Last chance to whip out your balls
Here's the election eve prediction center for all of you frothing partisans, self-styled moderates, independents, theocons, neocons, Bush cult members, mad-as-hell-and-not-going-to-take-it-anymore Dems, Republicans, and Independents to put down your markers.
Predict local and state races, but also take a shot at predicting the house and senate balance. Give the number of seats you think will be gained. Happily, this number will apply to Democrats as absolutely no one thinks the Republicans will gain in either house. (but of course, I know I have some fine readers who are as deeply in denial as our President, so if you want to predict a Republican gain, you're welcome to.)
(reminds me of a GREAT line by Andrew Sullivan in reference to Bush's casual aquaintance with reality. He said in regard to Bush that this election "...isn't so much a referendum as an intervention.")
The Rothenburg Report from normally cautious analyste Stu Rothenburg has the Dems picking up 6 for a one vote majority in the Senate, and a Dem gain of 34 to 40 in the House for a whopping 19 to 25 seat majority.
Charlie Cook of the Cook Report describes it as a "big goddamned wave" for Dems, but said in a piece written 4 days ago that the Republicans should consider themselves lucky if they lose only a 4 or 5 seats in the Senate and 20-25 seats in the House.
Go to it.
And if your comment is nothing but a continuation of a smear campaign, don't bother posting it.
14 Comments:
Democrats +32 in the house
+6 in the Senate (including MO)
Phil Hare wins with 54%
I think that Boland will win by 129 votes, Jacobs by 2-to-1.
Judge Vicki Wright comes down to Will County.
Huff wins.
and in the Outside Dope, Off-the-Wall Prediction: John Laesch somehow pulls off the upset and sends Hastert packing.
Nussle, Whalen, Hutter, Adamson
Hare with 56%
Jacobs with 75%
Wright with 50%+
Braley with 55%
Boland with 55%
Huff with 58%
One of the winners ought to be TID for one of the wittiest, funny headlines I've seen in awhile!!
I predict that the news media will be surprised at the strength and size of the Democratic GOTV army. Pundits who have talking for months about the superior Republican GOTV will be asking "where did THAT come from?"
I only hope you're right Dave!
At any rate, this election, combined with the recent pulling back of the curtain on the hypocrisy and power mongering perversion of the "theocons", I truly think that tomorrow may be a day remembered for when the darkness finally started to lift in this country and around the world.
I thik that you will find that as the voters go to the polls, they do not go as strongly towards the Democrats as anticipated.
Dem's will win the House, not the Senate - and the reason is...voters vote for National Security on Senate levels - and Kerry's disdain for the military that was front-and-center last week will have more of an effect than thought.
Blago 49%
JBT - 43%
Green Party - 6%
Other - 2%
Hare - 57%
Zinga - 43%
Jacobs - 62%
Beals - 38%
Haring - 52%
Boland - 48%
Schwigen 52%
Huff - 48%
Braley 54%
Whalen 46%
Zinga just edges Hare out with 52%
Hare 58%
Zinga 42%
Blagojovich 48%
Baar-Topinka 41%
Whitney 11%
Wright 52%
Powers 48%
Culver 53%
Nussle 47%
Jacobs 59%
Beals 41%
Huff 54%
Schwigen 46%
Armstrong 51%
Culley 49%
Boland 52%
Haring 48%
Labor will have almost 200 people on the streets and phones tomorrow too!
uniond, either a little optimistic, a little one-sided in our opinions, or we are just a pathetically stupid area!
Clean sweep for the D's in an area that is flushing down the toilet (with long-term D leadership...sad)
Hare - 56 %
Zinga - 44 %
Boland - Harding - toss up
Blago - 52 %
Topinka - 40 %
Green Party - 8 %
Wright - 51 %
Powers - 49 %
Huff - 53 %
Schwigen - 47 %
Jacobs - 57 %
Beals - 43 %
Culver - 54 %
Nussel - 46 %
Braley - 51 %
Whalen - 49 %
To Anonymous said 6/11/06 21:43,
I made a prediction under a name so as not to remain anonymous. Where is yours? Take a chance, predict your winners under a name so we can determine which of us is the optimitist.
GOTV
Sincerely, UnionD
Amen to that Union D.
I've begged and pleaded in the past and specifically told readers to at least leave a name so we could associate predictions with it, but most people simply ignored it, despite the fact that having a dozen predictions from "anonymous" is pretty stupid as if one of them comes closest, they won't be able to take credit and get the rousing accolades and heaps of praise they'd otherwise so richly deserve.
DB is anon 11/7/2006 03:46
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