Get your primary picks in
Yes, the appearance of the Inside Dope Swami can only mean one thing... it's time to make your predictions...It's a week out from primary day, and this time focus your picks on the following primary matchups and predict the final count in percentages.
Rumler - Jacobs 36th Dist. Senate
Huff - Grchan - R.I. County Sheriff
And I'll throw in the judicial race as well. If you've already voted for the above you can throw in your vote for the below as well if you wish. (again, with people still insisting on commenting as "anonymous", it's impossible to match your two picks.. but for some reason, people continue to do so.)
O'Neal - Peterson - Wright - 3rd Dist. Appellate Court Judge
Submit your picks in the following format:
Jacobs: xx%
Rumler: xx%
Grchan: xx%
Huff: xx%
O'Neal: xx%
Peterson: xx%
Wright: xx%
If you want to add any explanations or caveats, feel free.
And this time, click "other" and TYPE IN A NAME damn it, so we can tell who was closest once the real results are in.
posted by The Inside Dope @ 3/14/2006
33 comments
33 Comments:
Rumler: 49%
Jacobs: 51%
Huff not Huff: 56%
Grchan: 44%
Rumler: 46%
Jacobs: 54%
Huff: 53%
Grchan: 43%
Unknown Write In: 6%
Rumler 55
Jacobs 43
Grchan 57
Huff 40
Rumler: 45%
Jacobs: 55%
Hull: 48%
Grchan 52%
Jacobs has a lot of baggage from his father. To carry this will be a heavey load. In the end a positive campaign pays off.
Grchan wins. Huff's mail was so scarry that It will scare of the undecided.
Rumler: 60%
Jacobs: 40%
Hull: 54%
Grchan: 46%
You can tell who you are for. The name is Huff. You spell like a Jacobs. Next Rumler in an upset. All the people that Rumler saw will carry him over the top.
Rumler: 44%
Jacobs: 56%
Huff: 43%
Grchan: 57%
In the race for Sherriff, I think incumbency will drive the train. I don't see a compelling enough reason for those voters who only loosely follow this race to vote for Huff.
In the State Senate race (bold prediction here), the Jacobs name and money will be too much for Mr. Rumler to overcome, even in light of the resentment some may harbor over the way Mike Jacobs got the job.
I may be generous with the margin of victory, and if it is a close race, I hope that Mike takes it as a wake up call that the people need to see some humility and genuine hard work.
If he pursues this path, I think over time, he can prove to be an able senator outside of his dad's shadow.
Jacobs 62%
Rumler 38%
Grchan 53%
Huff 47%
Anon: 8:41. sorry about the spelling goof. I got it right half the time though.
And I'm simply stunned that STILL people won't bother clicking on other and typing in some made up name, even for something like this.
It's amazing. Now if Anonymous wins, big freaking deal. It's meaningless.
Way to go people. I'm really proud.
Would someone explain to me why you insist on posting as anonymous, or give their theory as to why this happens? It's got me completely stumped. Is it simply because I asked them to?
Jacobs:43%
Rumler:57%
The younger voters will make their presence known in this one and the cleaner campaign will prevail.
Rumler 49%
Jacobs 51%
For no other reason than Mr Rumler is basically an unknown to me.
Huff 45%
Grchan 55%
Given all of the facts I vote for Seriff Grchan. The fact that Mr Huff does not have the support of his own union leads me to ask why would any other unions back him. I would hazzard to guess the AFSCME reasons would be ownly self serving reasons.
You can also not overlook all that Sheriff Grchan has done.
I'll go with the following --
Blago 65
Eisendrath 35
Topinka 40
the rest below her
Grchan 55
Huff 45
Mowen 38
Zinga 37
Gilligan 25
Lance Peterson 39
Vicki Wright 33
Tom O' Neal 28
Jacobs 59
Rumler 41
Topinka wins by 15%
Zinga wins by 5%
Grchan 55
Huff 45
Jacobs 59.99
Rumler 40.11
Peterson 38
Wright 33
O'Neal 29
Rumler 56
Jacobs 44
Grchan 52
Huff 48
Peterson 40
Wright 42
O'Neal 18
EMDEMO,
I wonder why you say that Sheriff Grchan can not come back from the 38% of the last election. If I remember correctly he beat Mr Huff by more than 10 points that time. Maybe I am wrong but I do not think so.
I also wonder about the information listed on Mr Huffs signs.
Honorable service- Correct me if I am wrong. I read on the Huff website that he was in fact guilty of what they had charged him with. The only thing in question by the court was the penalty. That does not mean that he did not do what he was charged with.
Union rep. - He does not even have the endorsement of his own FOP lodge. These are the ones that he has been such a great rep for. If this is so why are they not backing him full steam ahead.
Friendly to seniors- I do not know about this. I have not seen anything in the papers to either support or not support this statement. I did notice a flier bout a senior program on his site. There is nothing stating what he has already done for the seniors only what he will look to do. Not being in law enforcement may be why I have not heard anything about his senior service. Or maybe there is not any?
Fiscally responsible- As far as I know he has not had to deal with budgets of any kind as of yet. I may be wrong but there is no way to check on this. I do note though that on his campaign disclosure he has had to borrow money from a correctional officer for his campaign.
I will stick with Mr Grchan
57%
43%
Jacobs 55%
Rumler 45%
Anon @ 20:12,
Did you possibly consider the fact that there will be political retribution against the FOP Lodge members? It has been done in the past and if the incumbant is elected on March 21st I am sure it will take place again. The AFSCME Union took the challenge and is running a good campaign, a clean campaign. I stand with Huff for Sheriff and do not fear the political retribution.
Peterson: 43%
Wright: 38%
O'Neal: 19%
Huff 55%
Grchan 45%
I called Mr. Huff about his union's endorsement. He said on Feb. 15th the FOP had a meeting about endorsements. Mr. Grchan asked to be endorsed and Mr. Huff said the FOP should continue their long practice of staying nuetral in Sheriff's races. They voted to stay nuetral. He added that AFSCME has endorsed him and people should contact AFSCME with questions. I asked him about being fiscally responcible. He stated Mr. Grchan has had three SUV's in his time as sheriff. And numerous other new vehicles. This is a waste of taxpayers money. When I asked why Grchan purchased SUV"s as his supplied department vehicle. Huff told me I should ask Grchan. The cost of the vehicle and higher fuel costs are just one waste of tax dollars he said. If you write to Huff on his web site, he will call you.
Rumler 53%
Jacobs 47%
Primarially because of the way Jacobs got the position.
Mojo Nixon: 62%
Skid Roper: 18%
Country Dick Montana: 20%
In your crystal ball Jacobs appears very happy.
I'd say:
Jacobs: 63%
Rumler: 37%
Grchan: 52%
Huff: 48%
Jacobs 48
Rumler 52
Rumler's seven month door-to-door campaign pays off on election day. Voters are sick of Jacobs.
Huff 48
Grchan 52
Grchan's perk-walk with the infamous Sarah Kolb carrys him over the threshold.
Blago 69
other 31
Eisendrath blew it!
Wright 42
O'Neill 30
Peterson 28
Two men, one lady. Enough said.
I see Vershoore(who was appointed to his position)is stumping for Jacobs (who was appointed to his position). ye ha. The good ol' boy system is alive and bucking. Ride um cowboy to loserville.
I predict Rumler beats Jacobs by one or more votes.
HAHA!! Now THERE'S an optimist! Thanks for the chuckle. We'll put you down as Rumler by a vote or two.
that anonymous is so sharp - he wins the poll!
love and kisses from the real anonymous
Oh man! You guys are killing me this morning!! hahahaha!! First Rumler "by at least one", and now hearing from the real anonymous? ha! (and really, how dumb is it for all these people to leave predictions as "anonymous"? duh!)
Who invited all these witty people?? Where'd they come from??
guess I better get out and vote then so the jacobs-rumler race is a tie - what happens then dope? do you get to flip a coin?
I think a tie is settled by a spelling bee, if I'm not mistaken.
If the spelling word is "Candidate", Jacobs will be back to lobbying.
Jacobs wins the spelling bee if the word is "Daddy."
Rumler at 60%
Throw the "bums out" concept.
Same thinking for sheriff.
Huff 60%
Wright and Peterson battle it out for around 40% each. Cops and women turn out, Wright wins. Heavy blue collar labor, Peterson wins.
The Inside Dope said...
I think a tie is settled by a spelling bee, if I'm not mistaken
Good one, Dope!
Jacobs 59%
Rumler 41%
Sen. Jacobs is over and above far more qualified to represent our district, get your heads out of your you know what. In the end, Rumler can move to another district at the last minute and try to run in 2008, good luck Paul!!! As for me I'll be at the Jacobs VICTORY party on the 21st.
Of course you'll be at Jacobs party, isn't it customary for the candidate to be at his own party?
About the victory thing...
I't seems that you don't know how to read. The person being at Senator Jacobs VICTORY PARTY would be Miles J. not Mike J. Better put on your specks.
Jacobs 62 Rumler 38
After bombshell letter hit about Grchan, Huff 60% Grchan 40%. Was a killer.
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