April 12, 2006

Can it happen?

There's been a steady drumbeat from this gang of incompetents in the Bush administration, and it's eerily reminiscent of their PR push to get us to support their little adventure in Iraq. Only this time, the beligerant talk and saber-rattling is directed at Iran. The whacked out right are now making the effort to vilify and make Iranian leaders into cartoon evil-doers, as well as ginning up the fear campaign by dropping dire warnings that Iran is our "greatest challenge" and biggest boogie-man on the planet.

I don't like the sounds of this at all. First of all, Iran isn't close to our biggest threat (Bush is, but that's another story) And secondly, with Bush's poll numbers cratering and down to the mid-30's, if history is any guide, Rove will be pushing the boy king to gin up some good old fashioned war to save his political skin.

These folks are not above sacrificing a few thousand lives of Americans to hold on to power and expand it for themselves and a small group of financial elites.

But this talk about Iran and the fact that the neo-cons are already talking about military action if Iran doesn't knuckle under to our mostly unreasonable demands (think the run up to Iraq) doesn't exactly make me feel too confident that these disasters would have the sense to resist pushing even harder to start WWIII.

Evidently things aren't going too well in the "Long War" as they've sickeningly taken to calling the Iraq bungle, and the military/right wing/corporate axis is looking around for some more action.

But I have a feeling if these fools would ever actually use force against Iran, Iraq would look like the cakewalk we were all promised it would be what seems like so long ago.

Keep your eyes and ears on this one. I simply can't believe they'd be serious about starting a war with Iran, but these guys aren't rational. They've proven that by repeatedly doing things that no one would ever dream they'd actually do.

Let's pray this new belligerence towards Iran doesn't turn out to be another.


At 4/12/2006 10:53 AM, Anonymous Anonimity said...

If it's going to happen, it will happen before March 2008, so that it can be either completed or be knee deep in it before the Presidential election.

We'll see very little serious diplomatic efforts by the U.S. in the UN because of the time constraints. There will be a huge effort to convince the American people that it's a necessary war...we're already seeing that now with Hersch's article and the overblown coverage of Iranian weapons tests. Every little move Iran makes will be spun as a move toward conflict.

I would expect that the two main objectives would be to decapitate the leadership and destroy all nuclear sites.

At 4/12/2006 2:55 PM, Blogger tiz said...

I don't think it will happen. Here's how I see this playing out:

1. We escalate our rhetoric with Iran probably for the next year or so during the midterm elections but we don't actually do anything. This and the immigration "issue" will be the strawmen that get beat to death in order to sidestep any real attention to what's going on in Iraq.

2a. If the GOP retains control of congress in 2006, the US will lessen the rhetoric and make some asinine request of Iran to end this. Iran complies and the Bush/GOP parade as a "see, we don't need to bomb everyone to get our way" moment.

2b. If the GOP loses control of congress in 2006, we'll keep up the rhetoric and Bush will ask congress to fund operations that could lead up to actually invading Iran. He'll get turned down (and actually I think his own party would turn him down were they in power). So in 2008 republicans can squawk about how Democrats are "soft on terror" again.

Either way, I don't see us going into Iran (at least in the next couple years), even with the congress we currenty have. If our military wasn't streched too thin I think W and the neocons might try it but right now it's just something to stay on the front page so we don't think too much about Iraq before the midterm elections.

At 4/12/2006 6:56 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

We'll be in Iran long before 2008. Go to www.lonepatriot.com and read his post on Iran from a couple days ago.

It's coming!


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