June 29, 2005

McNeil tops inaugural DopePoll ™

The first ever DopePoll™ proved to be intensely popular, and is already being imitated by other blogs such as Capitol Fax and DownLeft. And the results are in.

Porter McNeil emerged the victor after a hard fought contest against the only other real contender, Dennis Ahern. McNeil and Ahern attracted a whopping 97% of the vote between them out of the field of 11 possible choices.

McNeil pulled ahead to a commanding lead, only to see it evaporate during the evening yesterday, but still held on to finish 122 votes in front with a tally of 552 votes or 54.5 %. Ahern gathered 430 votes or 42.4%.

On the question "If Mike Boland chooses not to run, who would have your support to win the 71st District seat?"

Out of 1013 total votes cast, the final results in order of finish are:

Choice : Vote total - Percentage of vote

1. Porter McNeil : 552 - 54.5%

2. Dennis Ahern : 430 - 42.4%

3. None of the above, I want Boland to stay : 10 - 1%

4. Steve Haring : 6 - 0.6%

5. Tony McCombie : 5 - 0.5%

6. Jerry Lack : 4 - 4%

7. Another Republican : 4 - 0.4%

8. Mike Hugetoon : 1 - 0.1%

9. Another Democrat : 1 - 0.1%

10. Mike Smiddy : 0 - 0.0%

11. Phil Banaszek (misspelled in poll): 0 - 0.0%

What the results reflect could be any number of things. Obviously, both Ahern and McNeil mobilized their networks to bring out the vote. They both ran a closely contested race and should be commended. (not one report of a yard sign being torn down!)

There was much pulling of hair and gnashing of teeth over the fact that I had to change the poll after the first one had already been up for a while.

There were a couple reasons for this. The primary reason was that it had become apparent that some voters were able to hack the first poll in able to vote multiple times. I'd also inadvertently included a candidate who doesn't even live in the district. I apologize for any problems this may have caused, but I wanted to ensure as much as possible that the results were not tainted by anyone voting multiple times.

The votes did come in at an amazing rate at some points, including one 45 minute period I observed between 4:50 and 6:35 p.m. Tuesday in which 97 votes were received for Ahern vs. McNeil's 3.

So far, I've not heard of anyone being able to vote multiple times in the new poll. Without such evidence, we must assume that vote rigging didn't occur. But if you figured out a way to get around the one computer, one vote restriction, please drop me an e-mail and let me konw. If it was possible, I'll need to try to find a poll system that is more secure. It the poll was "rigable", that fact should be taken into consideration when viewing the results as well.

A big thank you to all who voted, and a special thanks to those who came back and voted again after the change was made.

Now on to the next poll.


At 6/29/2005 12:22 AM, Blogger politicalwind said...

Congratulations to all who participated in the first-ever DOPPE poll and congrats to the DOPE for starting a statewide trend that other blogs are emulating.

What's crytal clear from this 71st District poll is that certain potential candidates -- namely Porter McNeil and Dennis Ahern -- worked hard to "get out the vote."

Kudos to all.

At 6/29/2005 8:50 AM, Blogger hud50 said...

I'm pretty sure Terronez is an East Moliner (71st).

At 6/29/2005 9:22 AM, Blogger youngridemocrat said...

Way to go Porter! You got some college dem votes out here.

What happened to Haring and Boland?

At 6/29/2005 9:43 AM, Blogger diehard said...

McNeil would be an excallent rep. He has the experience and knows his way around Springfield.
But the only problem is Boland may not have the gonads to run for another office!

At 6/29/2005 9:43 AM, Blogger The Inside Dope said...

hud, thanks for the help. I've since double-checked and found that while his family is from E. Moline, Terronez actually lives in Rock Island and is thus in the 72nd.

As you may have noticed, I managed to botch the initial poll once again and had to correct it to more accurately reflect the question I wanted people's opinion on. I'm very sorry, but at least I caught it before too many votes were cast.

At 6/29/2005 10:01 AM, Blogger hud50 said...

I stand corrected. However, i am sorry to see that you deleted Mrs. Darrow from the list. Most insiders are aware that this sharp young Assistant U.S. Attorney is more attractive than most on this poll.

At 6/29/2005 10:10 AM, Blogger latinv said...

Ahern would be an excellent Rep. Someone who can stand on his own two feet and work for us. Someone who has shown he can not just say we need a changing of the guard, but someone who actually ran on what he beleived, and has not waited to slide into a vacancy. Keep up the hard work Ahern, it will be rewarded.

At 6/29/2005 11:01 AM, Blogger diehard said...

Unfotanitly Ahern has never given me a reason to vote for him. What are his goals? Is ho pro-life or pro-choice? Does he support orgainized labor, reform of our health care what?
He needs to say what he is for other than he is with the jacobs!

At 6/29/2005 7:59 PM, Blogger Slack-jawed Yokel said...

Who in the wide, wide, world of sports is Tom Benson? Where'd he come from?

At 6/29/2005 9:15 PM, Blogger illinoisone said...

He must be partners with the fictional Tony McCombie that no one has ever heard of before....

At 6/29/2005 9:28 PM, Blogger texas QCer said...

Why would Jeff Terronez run for a State Rep position? His gig now is a heck of a lot better.

At 6/29/2005 9:56 PM, Blogger youngdem503 said...

I truly think the poll underestimated Jerry Lack, while Lack might not have got all riled up about the poll I think he is going to prove to be a decent candidate. For one he is going to have the backing of Lane Evans, which will keep most of the other local politicians from publicly endorsing anyone. Second Lack has made a good deal of connections throughout the district working for Evans for some many years. Before you start gearing up for a McNeil-Ahren primary battle don’t be surprised to see Jerry Lack thrown in the mix(which McNeil will win with out question). Also for 72nd, come on, Pat O’Brien deserves that job more than anyone. Maybe this time around he will learn from his mistakes, keep it up beat and not feed into negativity.

At 6/29/2005 9:57 PM, Blogger youngdem503 said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

At 6/29/2005 9:58 PM, Blogger youngdem503 said...

FYI: Tom Benson is a lawyer that works for the state.

At 6/29/2005 9:58 PM, Blogger texas QCer said...

Amen, Youngdem - although I followed the Moline Mayoral race from long distance, it seemed to me that O'Brien did get caught up in negativity. Anyone else see it that way?

At 6/29/2005 10:15 PM, Blogger youngridemocrat said...

Yeah, I saw it that way. O'Brien was a good candidate, but I think he let some consultants steer him into a slash and burn campaign that backfired in a big way.

At 6/29/2005 10:17 PM, Blogger none said...

yea I caught that. It was interesting to see the O'Brien camp launch the first negative salvo in that race, then cry foul when they go hit back, againa, and again and again. and I vote demo here in RI County. But you have to remember, it's still Moline. John Deere, Riverstone, and the Dispatch control the city. They were not going to let O'Brien win.

At 6/30/2005 7:02 AM, Blogger latinv said...

YoungDem503, I applaud you for your work in our party. I hope to see more of you along the way. I must say though, what a true slap in the face to Mr. McNeil and Mr. Ahern if Congressman Evans endorses Mr. Lack in this race. It is clear that the two aforementioned are the strongest candidates in our party, and both have paid their dues. John G. you need to get together with all the democrats in order to transition well for the future of our party. You are going to have 3 positions opening in the coming years (71st,72nd, and 17th) better to have unity, then the train-wreck that is developing.

At 6/30/2005 12:20 PM, Blogger Slack-jawed Yokel said...

Whoever this Benson guy is, it's plain that he's sitting around loading up votes. His count sits there and does nothing until someone else goes ahead of him, then it skyrockets until he's in the lead, then it stops.

It's obvious someone is cheating.


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