July 27, 2006

Polls reflect public disgust with Bush, Republican Congress

MyDD notes the following:
NPR has a new survey on the House out today that was conducted by Democrat Stan Greenberg and Republican Glenn Bolger. This poll is particularly interesting because of the district level detail it offers on the generic ballot question. The poll only focused on the fifty most competitive districts this year, forty of which are held by Republicans, and ten of which are held by Democrats. Here are some of the findings:

  • In the fifty most competitive House districts this year, Democrats lead the generic ballot 48-41. While this is a smaller lead for Democrats than many national polls reveal, it is important to remember that this is primarily a survey of Republican-held.

  • When candidates are named across the fifty districts, Democrats lead 49-43.

  • Within the ten Democratic held districts, Democrats hold a whopping 60-29 advantage. This may only be a sample size of around 200, but these numbers show the tremendous strength of Democratic incumbents around the nation. We hold a 31-point generic ballot advantage in our ten most endangered seats? Amazing.

  • Within the "top tier" Republican held seats (not sure how many districts this included), Democrats hold a sizable 52-42 advantage in the generic ballot. These are the sort of numbers that make a takeover very likely.

  • Within the "bottom tier" of the competitive Republican held seats, Democrats still hold a generic advantage of 47-44. This is particularly amazing. This shows Democratic competitiveness across a wide swatch of districts.

  • Bush is at 45% "strong disapprove" in these districts, and only 24% "strong approve." Remember--these are in districts that Republicans hold.

  • Voters also indicate a high level of enthusiasm to vote, and Demcorats hold a significant edge in that category. However, I'll believe that when I see it, considering low turnout during the primary season so far.
  • Take a look at the poll results here. Good news for Democrats across the board.

    It sucks to be Republican these days.

    6 Comments:

    At 7/27/2006 7:47 PM, Blogger maybesomeday said...

    Dope, this was just what a lot of us were hoping for. Maybe the country will come back to its senses and dump these idiots out of office - the Republicans who got us into this mess.

    Can we recall George Bush please??

     
    At 7/27/2006 8:22 PM, Blogger The Inside Dope said...

    Maybe, I was just thinking along those lines.

    The people of this country, due in part to inept Democratic message, and literally billions of dollars of right wing media propaganda and think tanks and Karl Rove, decided to give Bush enough votes to allow him to steal the 2000 election.

    Bush promptly handed over foreign policy to a group of chicken-hawk egg-head neocons, and handed over domestic policy to the fundy-right.

    NOTHING, and I mean NOTHING has gone right since. NOTHING.

    With 9-11, Bush "hit the trifecta" as he so famously put it.

    Now the neo-cons had their "Pearl Harbor" event that their "Project for a New American Century" yearned for as a pretext to invading Iraq.

    It was clear to literally anyone that was paying attention that the pretext for invading Iraq was a pipe-dream. It was simply something Bush and his cronies wanted to do for their own misguided reasons, and they were blatantly inventing reasons to do so and cutting off ever avenue which promised to avoid conflict, while inflating and even inventing information which they could use to stampede the country into invading a soverign country which posed no threat to the U.S.

    Yet the people, again, due to massive and relentless right wing efforts, aided and abetted by major media, were told to be scared out of their wits and that only George could protect them. (even though he had enough intelligence info and forewarning about the threat that it could have been averted. Bush was actually proposing a CUT in the anti-terrorism budget on the day before 9-11, completely dropped the ball in allowing the attact to occur.

    Out of fear and manipulation of that fear laced with a copious volume of out and out lies about Kerry and other things, Bush got in again.

    So, for the past 6 1/2 years, our foreign policy has followed the dreams of U.S. global empire of the neo-cons, and the in many respects midieval and misguided social policies of the fundementalist Christian right.

    How's it gone so far?

    Is the world safer and more at peace?

    Has squandering nearly all the time of congress and the senate dealing with flag burning, gay marriage, and measures to make abortions less available and more difficult been worth it?

    Has handing corporations literally everything they want really improved life for the middle class... or any class other than the very top slice of the wealthiest?

    Is our economy stronger?

    How's that surplus in the treasury doing?

    Are we leaving things better for future generations? Or are we handing them a collossal disaster that will prevent them from living peaceful and prosperous lives?

    Has ANYONE in the Bush administration performed at a level which would even be considered competent in any other administration?

    How'd that trumped up Homeland Security department do in responding to Katrina?

    Bush immediately set out to adope a "un-Clinton" policy. If Clinton supported it, he didn't. If Clinton opposed it, he supported it.

    How's that worked out?

    How have our civil rights been holding up?

    Are we more free now?

    Have the wealthy gotten exponentially more wealthy by Bush policies designed to benefit them specifically, such as abolishing the inheratence tax, abolishing the capital gains tax, and customizing the tax codes to make it even easier for them to hide income from taxation?

    Has our system of health care improved? Are we making progress in providing care to the millions of people who can no longer afford insurance or who's premiums have risen to the point where they simply can't pay them?

    Is it getting better? Or worse?

    Are we better off now than we were 7 years ago?

    History will record this as perhaps the most bungled, inept, wrong-headed, and disasterous administration in the history of this republic. Of that I have no doubt whatsoever.

     
    At 7/28/2006 7:38 AM, Blogger maybesomeday said...

    Well said Dope!

     
    At 7/29/2006 9:58 PM, Blogger just honestly said...

    I understand everyones interest in the congressional campaigns - I really do but I'm more inteested in our State politics and our local politics. I'm learning a lot about my local pols who are running in my district. I live in Batavia, IL, My current State Rep is Patricia Lindner. I never knew that! I'm researching Joe Serra who is opposing Lindner in the General Election. Serra is a pretty interesting fellow. I think he is the sleeper candidate in these parts. I recommend everyone get to know Joe Serra. I think he may be going places.

     
    At 7/31/2006 12:52 AM, Blogger Scott said...

    Dope, I think that the country is starting to realize just what has been going on. If the Democrats can get their act together (which I saw that they can... http://www.scottbigmac.blogspot.com ) Then the House is ours. Now, the Senate is going to take awhile.

     
    At 8/05/2006 8:54 PM, Blogger maybesomeday said...

    Don't give up on the US Senate yet. In Illinois, we have excellent Senators who can serve well a long while - both Dems.

    In Iowa, thank goodness for Harkin and of course Grassley is getting close to that magic retirement age so we have some hope of an open seat over in that State too!

     

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