February 6, 2008

Change, schmange... incumbants hold on.

Incumbants enjoy enormous advantages over challengers normally, and they almost never are unseated once entrenched in office.

Yesterday's election results obediently went along with this fact, despite the overwhelming desire for "change" at the national level.

Incomplete results with 154 of 192 precincts reporting posted at Quad Cities Online show Sen. Mike Jacobs, whose year end campaign finance report showed him spending $10 dollars for every dollar spent by Rumler squeaking past Rumler by 1160 votes, 13,862 to 12,702 for Rumler, or a roughly 4% margin, 52% to 48%. Again, that's with results from 38 precincts yet to be included.

Incumbant Rep. Mike Boland won over establishment backed challenger Jerry Lack by 1,685 votes, again with results from only 57 of 102 precincts reporting.


Complete Rock Island County results show Sen. Mike Jacobs inching past Paul Rumler by a mere 3.24% of the vote and slightly more than a 1,000 votes out of nearly 25,000 votes cast. (24,998)

Henry County totals report Jacobs besting Rumler there by 8.26%, 1,198 to 1,015

Whiteside County shows the race going to Jacobs by a wide margin, 72% to 27%, with only 1,418 votes cast, 1,031 to 387.

Again in Rock Island County, Mike Boland proved rumors of his demise quite premature by racking up a win over Jerry Lack by a convincing margin, just shy of 20%. Boland bested Lack by almost exactly 2000 votes out of the 10,275 votes cast.

Boland won Henry County 58% to 42% out of 2,181 total votes cast, 1,261 to 920.

While in Whiteside county, Boland won by a wider margin over Lack, 76% to 24%, out of only 1,437 total votes.

In encouraging result, voters in Rock Island county must be feeling a new spirit of civic obligation, passing a small tax increase to support the operating costs of Niabi Zoo 67 to 33%.

Rock Island also passed a school tax increase measure by the same margin.

Given the dismal history of such propositions failing, this is an encouraging sign.

Rock Island county Democratic primary results were:

Total Votes cast: 25,771

OBAMA 15,794 61.29%
CLINTON 8,855 34.36%
EDWARDS 803 3.12%
RICHARDSON 137 0.53%
KUCINICH 50 0.19%
DODD 33 0.13%
BIDEN 99 0.38%

Edwards, Richardson, Kucinich, Dodd, and Biden weren't on the ballot yesterday, and I'd surmise that their votes must reflect early voting and perhaps a handful of write-ins.

Complete results for Rock Island County can be found at the Rock Island County Clerk's website can be found here.

Henry county results are here...

And Whiteside results here.


At 2/06/2008 9:33 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Kuchinich was on the ballot in my precinct / polling place. I was one of the 50 who voted for Dennis.

Where did you hear that he wasn't on the ballot?

At 2/06/2008 10:26 AM, Blogger The Inside Dope said...

Hmmm. I may be completely wrong. I personally didn't notice all the candidate's names on the ballot, and assumed that candidates who had officially left the race weren't included.

I'll take your word that at least Kucinich was included.

Anyone else know if the others were included on the ballot?

At 2/06/2008 11:17 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

update on Jacobs-Rumler

191 of 192 precincts reporting

(Inc.) Mike Jacobs --- 17,269

Paul Rumler --- 14,861

54% to 46%

At 2/06/2008 12:45 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dope Mr. Rumler spent over $50,000 on this race. His campaign statement is not the totals he spent and he will have some splaning to do to the state board of elections.
Mr. Rumler was a constant fixture on the news with his commercial, he was on the radio and had mail that went out. Mr. Rumler did a poll and he ran a robo call for his bid.

If he spent $50,000 will you change your tune on poor Paul not having any money.

At 2/06/2008 3:09 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Pretty sad that things just keep staying in bad shape here on the Illinois side but we only have ourselves to blame for putting the same failing politicians in office election after election.

Hopefully we learn soon.

At 2/06/2008 3:39 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have to say that Porter McNeil was the most compelling local individual on television. He should be running for political office!

At 2/06/2008 4:27 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

it's a shame we have to live with Jacobs for another term. his lack of honestly was on display during his interview last night on WQAD in stating how he hasn't even mentioned Rumlers name in the two elections. i would probably actually have a little respect for mike if he just came out and said that the had more money so he got more votes....and what is up with Daddy Jacobs making any comments about Rumler. one would think that at that age you wold have a little bit of class. don't give up on us yet Paul!!!

At 2/06/2008 4:36 PM, Anonymous Barbie in Fulton said...


Boland gave Rumler $11,636.50 for his campaign

At least Denny Jacobs gave Lack $1000 straight out.

Not the day after the election. Like a snake!

At 2/06/2008 6:40 PM, Blogger The Inside Dope said...

Anon 12:45

If he didn't, will you admit that you're just pulling stuff out of your ass?

At 2/06/2008 7:09 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Mike Boland is an absolute classless jerk. Jerry Lack, negative campaign? HA HA HA... Lack dont have a negative bone in his body. I can't wait for the state board to look at the funds that went from Boland to Rumler, it is true dope, and they will be in some trouble, if not reported properly.

At 2/06/2008 7:18 PM, Anonymous barbie said...

I attached the site to check didn't I?

Rep Boland is not normally that generous.

At 2/06/2008 7:23 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I looked that up and it's true. It's an odd amount do you think? Aren't most political contributions in even amounts?

At 2/06/2008 7:26 PM, Anonymous Pat said...

Mr. Rumler just brought in $4000 more! Way to go Paul! Over 15 grand in one day!!

At 2/06/2008 9:46 PM, Blogger The Inside Dope said...

Let's see here...

How to put this delicately....

To the person sending in comments under different names in a very lame attempt to suggest a scandal...

As to your breathless assertions that Boland's donation to the Rumler campaign is somehow a huge scandal, illegal, and an act that will live in infamy and land someone in jail, I humbly suggest you put a sock in it.

You state that this donation occurred, as you so delicately put it, "the day after the election. Like a snake!"

But alas, you're either dead wrong or lying like a rug and are attempting to spread that lie, as you say, "Like a snake!"

And not only a snake, but a bumbling incompetent snake at that.

The link you helpfully provided to supposedly expose this big explosive story doesn't take one to Rumler's campaign finance report, but rather takes readers to a page from Mike Jacobs' report.

The page you link to details a small part of the full THIRTEEN THOUSAND dollars taken in by the Jacobs campaign the day before the election.

Why no squealing about that? The only difference is that Jacobs reported it the day before, Rumler the day after the election.

THAT'S the big scandal you're working so hard to promote?

As a minute spent actually looking at Rumler's report, which you evidently intended to link to, shows the contribution in question was given on Feb 4, the day before the election, and the report was filed with the board of election the day after the election.

If that's illegal, trust me, you'll hear about it. I sincerely doubt it is.

Sooooo, your attempt to create a scandal where none exists makes you look, well, to borrow a phrase, "like a snake!"

At 2/06/2008 9:47 PM, Blogger The Inside Dope said...

Anon 7:23

A look around at campaign finance info will show you that donations are often in odd amounts. Seems weird, but they are. Not only are they odd amounts, but they're often amounts like $683.14. Why the $0.14? Who knows? An example are the amounts given to Boland's campaign by Madigan .. all odd amounts.

At 2/06/2008 9:48 PM, Blogger The Inside Dope said...

Finally, a note about "Barbie"s attempt to include a link within a comment.

Yes, you did include the link, and the URL appears in your comment if you'll notice. Comments are sent to my gmail account for moderation, and when I publish them, the HTML formatting required for links doesn't translate into comments. I'd have to construct them by hand and when a reader clicks the link, it opens in a window as small as the comment window.

Readers can always cut and paste that URL into their browsers to check it out, and it actually works better that way.

At 2/06/2008 9:51 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Rumler spent over $60,000 vs $90,000 for Jacobs.
UAW endorsement.
Laborers endorsement.
Teamsters endorsement.
Change message in the air.
Rep Boland attacking Jacobs.
2% difference from the last race.

At 2/06/2008 10:03 PM, Blogger The Inside Dope said...

Anon 9:51.

Would you mind telling us where you get the spending figures from?

I was under the impression that until campaigns file a report detailing their expenditures for the period from Jan. 1 until the election, there's no way to know what they spent.

So how do you know?

At 2/06/2008 10:17 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...


At 2/07/2008 8:01 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

We will see what kind of Democrat Rumler is a divider that is a bad winner or a uniter that helps his party come together for a big General election win. .

At 2/07/2008 1:10 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

General election win???? There's no Republicans running against Jacobs, is there?

What are you talking about?

At 2/08/2008 8:37 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dope you at least know that Jacobs has a Republican challenger don't you.

At 2/08/2008 9:21 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

the Republicans can still slate a candidate against Senator Jacobs, in fact so could the Green Party for that matter.

Considering the weakness of his showing in the Primary Election against a relative unknown, it would be interesting (and not impossible by any means) if both of those parties were to smell blood in the water and slate an opponent against our Senator.

I hear the Greens have someone in mind with both name recognition and experience!

At 2/08/2008 5:51 PM, Blogger The Inside Dope said...

Anon 8:37,

No, I have not heard that a Republican has announced they're running against Jacobs.

And if you're aware of this, could I ask why you neglected to name this person?

Please inform us who it is. I have no idea.

By the way, I'm still waiting for this Bozo to provide the source for the wild spending numbers he's throwing around about Rumler.

Something tells me we'll be waiting til hell freezes over.

I'll have to be sure to compare the figures they're working so damn hard to spread around with the actual amount of expenditures listed in the next round of campaign finance reports.

I'd bet the farm that this is all a cheap attempt to smear Rumler and there's not a shred of truth to it whatsoever.

When stuff comes in about Jacobs, it's always proven to be 99.9% true. When stuff comes in about Rumler or Boland, 99.9% of the time, it's utter bullshit.

Go figure.

At 2/10/2008 1:04 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Michael Bertelsen was on the republican primary ballot.

At 2/10/2008 7:23 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have heard that Michael Bertelsen has run into some tough times and may drop out of the race.


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